Lawmakers Gear Up for Election-Year Battle Over Budget Deficit

Republicans rejected President Barack Obama’s $3.8 trillion election-year budget plan even before it arrived at the Capitol and said they will offer an alternative that relies on spending cuts to slash the deficit.

“All we’re getting here is more spending, more borrowing, more debt,” said House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, a Wisconsin Republican. “This is not a fiscal plan to save America from a debt crisis, and to grow the economy. It’s a political plan for the president’s re-election.”

House Republicans, eager to help their party regain the White House in November, said Obama’s plan was full of gimmicks and didn’t go far enough to reduce the federal budget deficit or boost economic growth.

They plan to unveil their budget framework next month. While Obama called yesterday for raising tax rates for the nation’s highest earners, congressional Republicans are demanding tax-cut extensions. Ryan and his fellow Republicans want deeper reductions in non-defense spending, an approach Obama said yesterday puts the economic recovery at risk.

“At a time when our economy is growing and creating jobs at a faster clip, we’ve got to do everything in our power to keep this recovery on track,” Obama said yesterday at Northern Virginia Community College in suburban Washington. “We can’t just cut our way into growth.”

The near-opposite approaches to trimming the deficit point to continued stalemate, one that probably won’t be broken until after the November election.

Deficit Math

The administration’s budget plan, for the fiscal year that begins Oct. 1, doesn’t follow up on Obama’s pledge to halve the budget deficit by the end of his first term. The budget projects this year’s shortfall at $1.33 trillion, down about 15 percent from $1.549 trillion in fiscal 2009 when Obama took office.

Obama’s plan for fiscal 2013 estimates that next fiscal year’s deficit would be $901 billion under his policies. The shortfall would narrow to $575 billion by 2018, the budget projects. Publicly held debt would continue to grow, to $18.7 trillion by 2022, which would be 77 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product.

The budget proposes reining in the debt primarily by raising a number of taxes for high earners, including allowing the expiration of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for those earning more than $250,000. Also for high earners, the plan would raise tax rates on dividends, reduce the value of their deduction and impose a 30 percent minimum tax on those earning more than $1 million annually.

Entitlement Programs

The budget proposal would cut spending on entitlement programs, though it wouldn’t go nearly as far as budget experts say will be necessary to narrow the deficit. Obama’s budget projects annual spending on Medicare and Medicaid will double over the next decade, even as federal payments to Medicare providers including hospitals would be cut by $268 billion. Social Security costs will climb by 75 percent during that time with the program’s annual budget reaching a projected $1.4 trillion by 2022.

Republicans rejected the administration’s claims that its plan would reduce the projected deficit by $4 trillion, saying that the figure includes more than $1 trillion in savings that lawmakers already agreed to last year.

The budget plan includes $800 billion in savings derived from what Republicans call an accounting gimmick involving war funds. Obama’s budget presumes war costs would continue to grow each year, for the next decade, with inflation.

Troop Drawdown

Because of the drawdown of troops in Iraq, actual costs are far below that, and the administration is claiming the difference as savings. Republicans say the money wouldn’t have been spent anyway so it should not be counted as savings.

Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and Republican presidential hopeful, has called for raising the Social Security retirement age and slowing the growth in benefits for wealthier retirees. He has endorsed a plan, similar to Ryan’s, that would give seniors the option of receiving federal subsidies to buy private health insurance instead of participating in the Medicare program.

Romney said yesterday that Obama’s plan hadn’t “taken any meaningful steps towards solving our entitlement crisis.” He said in a statement, “We can save Social Security and Medicare with a few common-sense reforms and — unlike President Obama — I’m not afraid to put them on the table.”

Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum said, “The American people have spoken loudly for the past three years, demanding fiscal responsibility from our leaders and President Obama is either deaf or simply won’t listen.”

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